Scenario 1A cross-party deal How it could happen Despite all the cynicism surrounding Theresa May’s offer to hold cross-party talks with Jeremy Corbyn and Labour, the two sides surprise everyone by coming together and backing a compromise plan that they think could command a majority in parliament. It would be based around building on May’s existing deal, adding a permanent customs union, extra protections around workers’ rights and legal guarantees making it harder for a future Tory leader to tear it up.The problems Labour would also take heavy criticism from members and MPs if it were seen to facilitate Brexit. Expect both sides to find a way to allow the talks to run their course – and then blame the other side for the lack of progress.Likelihood Scenario 2Binding votes agreed How it could happen The problems Brexit?Likelihood Scenario 3Short EU membership extension How it could happen The problems Likelihood Scenario 4Long EU membership extension, with a … [Read more...] about It’s still wide open, but what are the odds on the remaining Brexit scenarios?
Keith Leech, the man who started the massively popular Jack in the Green and Bonfire festivals in Hastings, was among a contingent of Hastings people who took part the huge march in London on Saturday in support of Britain remaining in Europe and calling for a second referendum. An estimated one million people took part in the protest. Keith was joined on the march by wife Heather.He said: Around 50 people from Hastings attended the Peoples Vote march in London last Saturday. Travel was difficult because of replacement buses on the rail service and it meant that many didn’t manage to meet up in the over one million people demonstration. “The Hastings banners drew a lot of compliments and attention. “The demonstration was good natured and polite and there was no trouble and no arrests.”Keith added: “The People are speaking but is anybody listening?”See also: Photos unseen for 75 years reveal what may be the image of the ghost of a solder in … [Read more...] about Hastings Jack in the Green founder joins big pro remain Brexit march
Irish and British General Elections could yet run in parallel before the end game, most likely a Customs Union deal, writes Eddie Hobbs Brexit now looks binary, it is do a deal or remain. The Prime Minister’s line of red pins on her map of Europe made no provision for anything to go wrong. Her blunder was to plan badly and underestimate the opposition. ‘Brexit means Brexit’ was a bridge too far, crash out an epic bluff and the retreat to a Parliamentary vote on No Deal, inevitable. Back in 1944, Montgomery’s blunder was to pin everything on invading the Ruhr by taking the bridge at Arnhem. Despite the monumental failure to do so, the Field Marshall still clung to the nonsense that Operation Market Garden was 'successful'. Montgomery sacrificed Britain’s crack 1st Airborne Division and the 1st Polish Independent Parachute Brigade and left much of Holland to wrath of German retaliation until the war ended. His arrogance prompting Bernhard, Prince of the … [Read more...] about Do a deal or remain? Brexit crash out is a bridge too far
0 Have your say In the face of last-minute Brexit panic, giving the politicians in Eire a hard time is not the solution, writes Lesley Riddoch Rudeness towards the Irish seems de rigeur on BBC TV as last minute panic over Brexit grows. In the face of constant interuption by Andrew Marr on Sunday, the Irish Deputy Prime Minister, Simon Coveney, explained that no renegotiation of the Good Friday agreement, the backstop or the overall Withdrawal Agreement is now possible. He made clear; “The backstop is already a compromise... it was designed around British red lines.” In another world, this could have been probed as containing a possible way forward for Theresa May. Instead Andrew Marr seemed irked by a smart, articulate Irish minister giving straight answers to fairly daft questions, driven by the near-collapse of the British political system. Last week, there was outrage online when the Today programme’s John Humphrys told Ireland’s … [Read more...] about Lesley Riddoch: BBC attitude towards Irish politicians highlights Westminster’s Brexit panic
There’s no question that Dyson’s move from Wiltshire to Singapore will be a loss to Britain. The company boasts profits in excess of £1bn, employs 4,000 in its Malmesbury offices alone, and is one of the UK’s major business success stories. But that doesn’t justify the political backlash we’ve seen. In true polarising fashion, owner Sir James Dyson has been branded a deceptive Brexiteer who is now turning his back on the referendum result, to the tune of a “£60m loss in tax revenue” for the UK. This has been used as proof that Brexit is harming Britain’s economy. But that’s only half the story. Turn your attention away from Dyson, to the flourishing portfolio of companies and investment flowing into Britain since its decision to leave the EU. Look at Starbucks, which is in the process of closing down its Amsterdam offices to strengthen and expand its grip on London. EisnerAmper, a leading US accountancy firm, last year … [Read more...] about There’s a lesson from Dyson’s Singapore move, but it has nothing to do with Brexit