This opinion piece was written by Dr. Ionas Aurelian Rus, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Cincinnati Blue Ash College (USA). The opinion does not necessarily represent the opinion of the editorial staff of Moldova.org. *** The conventional wisdom is that the U.S. presidential election of 2020 will be won by the Democratic presidential candidate, most likely Joe Biden. Yet a careful look at the evidence indicates that it is a true toss-up. If Donald Trump will win the election, this will be made possible by his potential victory in Wisconsin, a toss-up state, and one of the three Blue Wall States that the Democrats presumably need to win, together with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. I will also discuss some insights from Ohio. The most typical “fundamentals” are favoring Trump, for example, prosperity and possibly peace. Yet Trump has also often not been wise or even rational as president, and a majority of the voters indicate that they do not … [Read more...] about The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Is a Toss-Up
Candidates for 2016 presidential election
The most diverse group of politicians to ever run for the White House have emerged ahead of the 2020 debates, as Donald Trump seeks re-election — and live-tweets the Democratic primaries. With the first slate of debates just weeks away, a variety of candidates have proven to be fundraising juggernauts, surprising dark horses and even clear frontrunners. As the list of Democrats throwing their hat in the ring for a shot at the Oval Office seemingly continues to grow with each week, here are each of the 2020 hopefuls to have announced an official run thus far. We’ll tell you what’s true. You can form your own view. From 15p €0.18 $0.18 USD 0.27 a day, more exclusives, analysis and extras. Subscribe now Meet the candidates Joe Biden Former US vice president Joe Biden has officially joined the Democratic presidential contest to replace Donald Trump in 2020. The 76-year-old lifelong politician becomes an instant … [Read more...] about Meet all the Democratic candidates for the 2020 US election
Daniel R. DePetris 17 June 2019 7:46 AM 17 June 2019 7:46 AM Share Twitter Facebook LinkedIn Email Whatsapp Donald Trump is at his best when he’s campaigning. The man loves the limelight, the massive rallies in 20,000-seat arenas broadcasted in real time by Fox News, and the accolades, applause, and chants from his red-hatted disciples. Trump won the 2016 election by letting his force of personality take over the campaign and riding on the exhaustion of the Clinton political brand. 2020, however, is not 2016. Trump can claim to be an outsider populist all he wants, but the ‘drain the swamp’ mantra doesn’t have the same allure when you’ve been in the middle of the swamp for the last three years. Trump’s campaign staffers don’t want to get on the boss’s vindictive side, but they too recognise that extending the Trump presidency for another four years will require a more savvy political operation than the … [Read more...] about Can Donald Trump be tamed for the 2020 election?
It will take some time for experts to make detailed reviews of the Presidential elections results, thus I will take the opportunity to share some of my thoughts.First of all, most of the surveys were accurate in their predictions that Gitanas Nausėda and Ingrida Šimonytė will gather far more votes than Saulius Skvernelis and that second rung candidates Vytenis Andriukaitis and Arvydas Juozaitis will only gather around five percent of the vote. This shows that surveying organisations have managed to perform an accurate cross-section of Lithuanian voters. No less important is that Lithuanian voters openly reveal their preferences and intentions, not concealing or intentionally distorting them. This was not always the case. Surveys in 1992 claimed that the Sąjūdis would win a landslide victory, but it was met with a historic defeat. During the 2002 presidential elections, some of Rolandas Paksas’ voters did not reveal, who they would vote for. I did not … [Read more...] about On presidential elections in Lithuania. Post-election two cents
Bernadras Gailius / lzinios.lt The presidential elections are highlighting a new quality political reality of Lithuania, where people are divided into supporters of oligarchy and democracy, instead of conservatives, social democrats and liberals, as it used to be. It is still a long way to go until this division will be reflected in the names of parties or will lead to real changes in the legal framework of Lithuania. But it can already be clearly seen that a completely new question has become increasingly evident over the last two decades – can general elections still be trusted? How do we imagine a voter: a conscious person just like me, or a brainless and lowbrow resident of the ‘other Lithuania’? The response (not necessarily loudly voiced) to this question generates two opposing systems of opinions (not necessarily loudly declared). Either the state belongs to all citizens, or it should (at least de facto) be run by the most prosperous, frequently described by … [Read more...] about New policy in the presidential elections