LONDON (Reuters) – World stocks hovered near four-week lows on Thursday and yields on major benchmark bonds slipped after Washington moved to impose new tariffs on European goods, fuelling fears about global growth and dousing risk appetite.
MSCI’s index of world stocks .MIWD00000PUS slipped 0.2%. The euro zone benchmark index .STOXXE eked out small gains after suffering their worst day since the early August selloff on Wednesday, when the U.S. got the go-ahead to impose tariffs on $7.5 billion of European goods.
Washington will enact 10% tariffs on Airbus (AIR.PA) planes and 25% duties on French wine, Scotch and Irish whiskies and cheese from across the continent as punishment for illegal EU subsidies to Airbus.
But a reduction in the initial list propped up some sectors. Food and beverage stocks and industrial goods enjoyed healthy gains. France’s CAC index .FCHI rose 0.3%. German markets — a weather vane for exports — were closed for a national holiday.
Meanwhile, fresh data showed UK services activity unexpectedly contracted, suggesting country was flirting with recession. The FTSE 100 .FTSE, already in the grip of Brexit uncertainties, extend losses to 0.8%.
The latest U.S.-European trade tensions added to fears over the standoff between Washington and Beijing, which has cast a shadow over global growth prospects. Earlier in the week, disappointing data on U.S. manufacturing and the jobs market suggested the trade war with China had damaged the world’s largest economy.
“The big question for a lot of folks is whether this is the third slowdown since the financial crisis or are we now heading for a global recession,” said Anujeet Sareen, a fixed income portfolio manager and global macro strategist for Brandywine Global, adding his base case scenario was for a slowdown.
“The wild card in the pack is always Donald Trump and whatever he tweets next.”
(GRAPHIC – European vs US earnings: here)
Asian shares had racked up losses earlier in the day. Japan’s Nikkei stock index .N225 closed down 2%, its biggest one-day decline since Aug. 26.
U.S. stock futures ESc1 NQc1 indicated a flat opening after shares fell the most in nearly six weeks on Wednesday. All three major New York share indexes lost more than 1.5%.
“Risk aversion is broadly on the rise and that has been triggered by the weakness in U.S. manufacturing ISM data earlier this week,” said Manuel Oliveri, an FX strategist at Credit Agricole in London.
“The outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to other major economies has held the dollar and other risky assets up but that has changed this week.”
The flight to safety saw yields on two-year U.S. Treasury yields US2YT=RR slip to 1.4560%, nearing a two-year low of 1.4280%. Adding to pressure on yields was a weak U.S. jobs report, boosting expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month.
Traders see a 74% chance the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points to 1.75%-2.00% in October, up from 39.6% on Monday, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. [FEDWATCH]
Bets on a rate cut could rise further if a U.S. non-farm payrolls report on Friday shows weakness in the labor market.
Government bond yields in safe-haven Germany DE10YT=RR fell for the first time in over a week.
Sterling GBP= was unfazed at $1.2306 despite a surprise contraction as investors waited for a European Union response to Britain’s latest Brexit offer.
So far, the last-ditch Brexit proposal offered by Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Wednesday has received a cool reception. One senior EU official said it “can’t fly” because it was an unworkable move backwards that left Britain and the EU far apart.
Brent crude LCOc1 prices slipped 0.3% to $57.44 per barrel. Energy traders are worried about a slowing global economy, an over-supplied market and geopolitical friction in the Middle East. [O/R]
(GRAPHIC – Global oil demand 2019 vs. oil prices: here)
Reporting by Karin Strohecker, additional reporting by Stanley White in Tokyo, Marc Jones and Saikat Chatterjee in London; editing by Larry King
- Global stocks, dollar, yields climb on trade progress news
- Stock-Bond Showdown Tests History and Trader Nerves
- Bond yields are plunging around the globe. How low can they go?
- GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar, yields climb on trade progress news
- Global stocks gain on hopes for progress in trade war and Brexit
- Global stocks climb on trade talk, earnings news; sterling slips
- Investors chary of financials, Voda Idea bond yield jumps 43%
- Global stocks mostly gain with earnings in focus; sterling slips
- Global stocks climb on hopes for progress in trade; Canadian dollar gains
- Global stocks rise despite lackluster results; sterling creeps up as EU delays Brexit decision
- Global stocks climb on hopes for progress in trade; dollar up
- What is the bond market telling you?
- The rumbling sound in US stocks is the return of risk appetite
- Warning signs for global economy: the countries spooking investors
- Stocks Touch Record Amid a Thaw in U.S.-China Trade Fight
- It's the bulls' game to lose as the stock market heads for its final act of 2019
- Stock Versus Bond Showdown Is Testing History and Trader Nerves
- Investors are hoping stocks can beat the Fed meeting curse this time
- ADB: Bond market ticking upwards
- Shares slip on weak China growth, dollar suffers weekly mauling
Trade angst, growth scares haunt global stocks as bond yields slide have 908 words, post on feeds.reuters.com at October 3, 2019. This is cached page on Europe Breaking News. If you want remove this page, please contact us.