College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions

By Ryan FowlerWhatIfSports.comOctober 4, 2010Game of the Week: Michigan State vs MichiganThe Michigan Wolverines are quickly becoming the Loyola Marymount of college football. Rich Rodriguez should really consider adopting the philosophy of “if you can’t beat them, just outrun and outscore them.”The Wolverines advance the ball up the field, picturing an offensive drive as the Autobahn, braking is optional. The only difference is, quarterback Denard Robinson has no brakes, he only gets faster in the open field. The sophomore wildcat throws his legs into another gear while defensive backs lunge to tackle thin air.The TOP stat line from last Saturday’s game against Indiana embodies the core of Michigan’s zoom-zoom offense.Time of possession:Michigan – 18:13Indiana – 41:17The Maize and Blue nearly scored 3 points an offensive minute against Indiana.With the way their defense has performed the first five weeks, Robinson and company may need to put up more points to withstand the thrashing the Michigan defense will receive the other two-thirds of the game.Greg Robinson may be looking for another job, again. The Michigan defensive coordinator is dealing with a lot of injuries (who isn’t?), but for a team like Michigan to rank 73rd in points allowed, when you have Bowling Green and Massachusetts on your schedule, is unconscionable.Regardless, Michigan is 5-0 and will face their in-state rival Michigan State this Saturday. The two share the state, an unblemished record and last second wins over Notre Dame in South Bend.Sparty’s perfect start to the season is the second headline behind the health of their head coach.Mark Dantonio suffered a heart attack after the win over the Irish, in which he called for, and converted, a fake field goal in overtime to pull the stunner three weeks ago.Well, coach suffered another setback in his return to health last weekend as doctors discovered a blood clot in his leg which forced him to miss the Spartans upset win over Wisconsin.Even at 5-0, Michigan State is still flying under the radar as a viable Big 10 champion. Their numbers don’t run up and punch you in the face. They rank 39th in passing yards, 20th in rushing yards, 24th in points per game and 36th in points allowed. But Michigan will have to stop the Spartans on offense a few times if they want any crack at a 6-0 record.Using our college football simulation engine, Whatifsports.com simulated this game 101 times and what a barn-burner this could turn out to be. Michigan State won 56.4 percent of the time by an average score of 38-37.

Matchup	Win%	Avg Score
Central Michigan Chippewas	5.0	16
@ Virginia Tech Hokies	95.0	37
Virginia Cavaliers	10.9	17
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	89.1	35
Boston College Eagles	20.8	22
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack	79.2	34
Florida State Seminoles	37.6	31
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes	62.4	38
Navy Midshipmen	54.5	25
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons	45.5	24
Clemson Tigers	62.4	22
@ North Carolina Tar Heels	37.6	19
Memphis Tigers	5.0	11
@ Louisville Cardinals	95.0	36
Miami (OH) RedHawks	5.0	10
@ Cincinnati Bearcats	95.0	43
UNLV Rebels	5.0	11
@ West Virginia Mountaineers	95.0	45
Syracuse Orange	58.4	30
@ South Florida Bulls	41.6	29
Connecticut Huskies	77.2	29
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights	22.8	20
Minnesota Golden Gophers	5.0	15
@ Wisconsin Badgers	95.0	45
Indiana Hoosiers	5.0	10
@ Ohio State Buckeyes	95.0	44
Illinois Fighting Illini	5.9	14
@ Penn State Nittany Lions	94.1	36
Purdue Boilermakers	25.7	21
@ Northwestern Wildcats	74.3	31
Michigan State Spartans	56.4	38
@ Michigan Wolverines	43.6	37
Bowling Green Falcons	6.9	10
@ Ohio Bobcats	93.1	31
Akron Zips	26.7	16
@ Kent State Golden Flashes	73.3	27
Western Michigan Broncos	45.5	21
@ Ball State Cardinals	54.5	22
Temple Owls	74.3	29
@ Northern Illinois Huskies	25.7	22
USC Trojans	9.9	25
@ Stanford Cardinal	90.1	41
UCLA Bruins	14.9	21
@ California Golden Bears	85.1	36
Oregon State Beavers	30.7	24
@ Arizona Wildcats	69.3	34
Arizona State Sun Devils	67.3	28
@ Washington Huskies	32.7	24
Oregon Ducks	95.0	45
@ Washington State Cougars	5.0	13
Eastern Michigan Eagles	9.9	11
@ Vanderbilt Commodores	90.1	28
Tennessee Volunteers	21.8	19
@ Georgia Bulldogs	78.2	32
LSU Tigers	29.7	20
@ Florida Gators	70.3	29
Alabama Crimson Tide	86.1	29
@ South Carolina Gamecocks	13.9	16
Auburn Tigers	94.1	37
@ Kentucky Wildcats	5.9	19
San Jose State Spartans	5.0	18
@ Nevada Wolf Pack	95.0	45
Toledo Rockets	5.0	19
@ Boise State Broncos	95.0	50
Hawaii Warriors	28.7	28
@ Fresno State Bulldogs	71.3	38
Utah State Aggies	51.5	31
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	48.5	30
New Mexico Lobos	74.3	21
@ New Mexico State Aggies	25.7	17
Pittsburgh Panthers	70.3	33
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish	29.7	29
Baylor Bears	18.8	24
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders	81.2	38
Colorado Buffaloes	27.7	26
@ Missouri Tigers	72.3	35
Arkansas Razorbacks	70.3	43
@ Texas A&M Aggies	29.7	39
Nebraska Cornhuskers	90.1	29
@ Kansas State Wildcats	9.9	16
Utah Utes	93.1	37
@ Iowa State Cyclones	6.9	20
Tulsa Golden Hurricane	8.9	23
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs	91.1	42
East Carolina Pirates	21.8	23
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles	78.2	39
UAB Blazers	22.8	24
@ UCF Knights	77.2	34
Rice Owls	39.6	26
@ UTEP Miners	60.4	31
Mississippi State Bulldogs	51.5	37
@ Houston Cougars	48.5	36
Army Black Knights	54.5	22
@ Tulane Green Wave	45.5	23
Wyoming Cowboys	5.0	10
@ TCU Horned Frogs	95.0	45
Colorado State Rams	7.9	11
@ Air Force Falcons	92.1	33
San Diego State Aztecs	34.7	21
@ Brigham Young Cougars	65.3	27
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	37.6	17
@ Florida International Golden Panthers	62.4	24
Florida Atlantic Owls	42.6	28
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	57.4	33
Troy Trojans	52.5	32
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	47.5	31
Arkansas State Red Wolves	70.3	28
@ North Texas Mean Green	29.7	24
Oklahoma State Cowboys	95.0	38
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns	5.0	16

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